Mousehole AFC vs Bashley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
33.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mousehole AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
TAV
2 - 2
MAF
18%
19%
64%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
MAF
2 - 2
BAS
58%
19%
23%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
STB
1 - 5
MAF
9%
14%
77%
|
39 | 12 | 27 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
MAF
3 - 0
PAU
75%
15%
11%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
WUN
0 - 4
MAF
15%
18%
66%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
BAS
1 - 2
WIM
60%
20%
20%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
MAF
2 - 2
BAS
58%
19%
23%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
FAR
2 - 3
BAS
45%
22%
33%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
MEL
0 - 0
BAS
29%
21%
49%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
BAS
2 - 0
YAT
60%
20%
20%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | +1 |