Moura vs Louletano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
39.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
MOU
0 - 1
AMO
29%
23%
48%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
RED
2 - 3
MOU
5%
12%
83%
|
32 | 5 | 27 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
MOU
0 - 1
CAS
16%
23%
61%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
1DE
2 - 0
MOU
47%
25%
28%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
OLH
3 - 1
MOU
66%
20%
13%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Louletano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
LOU
0 - 3
1DE
40%
26%
34%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
ARM
0 - 0
LOU
53%
24%
23%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
LOU
2 - 2
OLH
32%
26%
42%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
CAS
2 - 1
LOU
74%
17%
9%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
SAC
1 - 1
LOU
61%
23%
17%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |