Mount Gravatt Hawks SC vs St George Willawong analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.5%
1-0
1.9%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.2%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.3%
80.6%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
10.2%
1-4
5.8%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
17.6%
0-4
7.5%
1-5
3.4%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
11.6%
0-5
4.4%
1-6
1.7%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
6.3%
0-6
2.1%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.9%
0-7
0.9%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.2%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mount Gravatt Hawks SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
GAP
3 - 3
MGH
47%
21%
32%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
MGH
2 - 3
PIN
17%
19%
64%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
TLA
4 - 1
MGH
90%
7%
3%
|
19 | 39 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
MGH
1 - 1
STO
37%
23%
41%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2022 |
MGH
0 - 0
BAY
10%
15%
75%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
St George Willawong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
GEO
1 - 0
ACA
78%
13%
9%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
GEO
1 - 2
TLA
46%
23%
31%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
BAY
3 - 2
GEO
27%
23%
50%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
GEO
1 - 0
NEW
54%
22%
24%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
GEO
4 - 1
TOO
78%
13%
9%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |