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Brisbane. Matchday 13

Mount Gravatt Hawks SC vs St George Willawong analysis

Mount Gravatt Hawks SC St George Willawong
18 ELO 5
13% Tilt 208%
7259º General ELO ranking 11900º
72º Country ELO ranking 173º
ELO win probability
18%
Mount Gravatt Hawks SC
15.7%
Draw
66.4%
St George Willawong

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18%
Win probability
Mount Gravatt Hawks SC
1.61
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
1.5%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
0.1%
+1
10%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
1%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
15.7%
66.4%
Win probability
St George Willawong
3.04
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
5.8%
3-4
2.4%
4-5
0.6%
5-6
0.1%
6-7
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
4.4%
3-5
1.4%
4-6
0.3%
5-7
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
5.5%
2-5
2.7%
3-6
0.7%
4-7
0.1%
5-8
0%
-3
13.5%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
3.3%
2-6
1.4%
3-7
0.3%
4-8
0%
-4
8.4%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
1.7%
2-7
0.6%
3-8
0.1%
4-9
0%
-5
4.5%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.2%
3-9
0%
-6
2%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0.1%
3-10
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Mount Gravatt Hawks SC
+33%
+199%
St George Willawong

Points and table prediction

Mount Gravatt Hawks SC
Their league position
St George Willawong
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
11º
35
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Albany Creek
57
60
100%
Bayside United
43
45
100%
The Lakes
39
41
100%
St George Willawong
35
38
100%
Toowong
32
34
100%
Acacia Ridge
30
31
83%
Mount Gravatt Hawks SC
28
30
65%
Centenary Stormers
23
24
78%
Univ. Queensland
22
23
84%
The Gap
10º
15
16
11º
26%
Western Spirit
11º
15
18
10º
36%
Brisbane Knights
12º
14
15
12º
80%
Expected probabilities
Mount Gravatt Hawks SC
St George Willawong
Champion
0% 0%
Final season
0% 100%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

St George Willawong
GEO
Mount Gravatt Hawks SC
MGH
The Lakes
TLA
Toowong
TOO
Bayside United
BAY
Western Spirit
WES
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Mount Gravatt Hawks SC
Mount Gravatt Hawks SC
1%
X%
2%
ELO MGH ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Jun. 2021
BAY
Bayside United
0 - 1
Mount Gravatt Hawks SC
MGH
39%
28%
34%
249 87 -162 0
29 May. 2021
ACA
Acacia Ridge
1 - 4
Mount Gravatt Hawks SC
MGH
39%
28%
34%
248 78 -170 0
23 May. 2021
MGH
Mount Gravatt Hawks SC
2 - 2
Albany Creek
ALB
51%
26%
23%
249 82 167 0
15 May. 2021
TLA
The Lakes
2 - 0
Mount Gravatt Hawks SC
MGH
46%
27%
28%
249 203 -46 0
08 May. 2021
MGH
Mount Gravatt Hawks SC
1 - 1
Brisbane Knights
BRK
47%
27%
26%
249 95 154 0

Matches

St George Willawong
St George Willawong
1%
X%
2%
ELO GEO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Jun. 2021
GEO
St George Willawong
0 - 3
Bayside United
BAY
45%
27%
28%
99 87 12 0
04 Jun. 2021
STO
Centenary Stormers
3 - 3
St George Willawong
GEO
46%
27%
27%
99 89 -10 0
30 May. 2021
GEO
St George Willawong
3 - 0
The Gap
GAP
45%
27%
28%
99 68 31 +1
22 May. 2021
WES
Western Spirit
0 - 4
St George Willawong
GEO
47%
27%
26%
98 191 93 +1
16 May. 2021
GEO
St George Willawong
5 - 1
Univ. Queensland
UNI
47%
27%
26%
97 34 63 +1