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Australia Second Division. Nueva Gales del Sur, Matchday 20

Mt Druitt Town vs Marconi Stallions analysis

Mt Druitt Town Marconi Stallions
16 ELO 29
6% Tilt 42%
7806º General ELO ranking 5024º
79º Country ELO ranking 24º
ELO win probability
34.2%
Mt Druitt Town
24.7%
Draw
41.1%
Marconi Stallions

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.2%
Win probability
Mt Druitt Town
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
41.1%
Win probability
Marconi Stallions
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Mt Druitt Town
+6%
+13%
Marconi Stallions

Points and table prediction

Mt Druitt Town
Their league position
Marconi Stallions
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
19
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Blacktown City Demons
36
46
79%
Sydney United
32
41
69%
Rockdale City Suns
27
35
29%
Manly United
27
33
28%
Sydney Olympic
24
31
19%
Mt Druitt Town
23
28
16%
Wollongong Wolves
22
28
16%
APIA Leichhardt Tigers
21
26
19%
Marconi Stallions
19
26
19%
North Shore Mariners
10º
16
23
10º
23%
Sutherland Sharks
11º
14
20
12º
32%
Sydney Sub 21
12º
14
22
11º
30%
Expected probabilities
Mt Druitt Town
Marconi Stallions
Champion
0% 0%
Final season
35% 11%
Mid-table
65% 89%

ELO progression

Marconi Stallions
MAR
Mt Druitt Town
MDT
Blacktown City Demons
BLA
Rockdale City Suns
ROC
Sydney United
SYD
Sydney Sub 21
SYD
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Mt Druitt Town
Mt Druitt Town
1%
X%
2%
ELO MDT ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Jun. 2021
SYD
Sydney Olympic
0 - 1
Mt Druitt Town
MDT
47%
27%
26%
229 373 144 +1
12 Jun. 2021
MDT
Mt Druitt Town
0 - 1
Sutherland Sharks
SUT
45%
27%
28%
231 219 12 -1
06 Jun. 2021
SYD
Sydney Sub 21
5 - 2
Mt Druitt Town
MDT
47%
27%
26%
232 361 129 -2
29 May. 2021
MDT
Mt Druitt Town
3 - 0
Wollongong Wolves
WOL
46%
27%
27%
230 256 -26 +2
22 May. 2021
API
APIA Leichhardt Tigers
4 - 1
Mt Druitt Town
MDT
46%
27%
27%
232 216 -16 -2

Matches

Marconi Stallions
Marconi Stallions
1%
X%
2%
ELO MAR ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Jun. 2021
WOL
Wollongong Wolves
0 - 1
Marconi Stallions
MAR
41%
28%
31%
371 252 -119 +1
13 Jun. 2021
SYD
Sydney United
1 - 0
Marconi Stallions
MAR
47%
27%
26%
372 403 31 -1
06 Jun. 2021
MAR
Marconi Stallions
2 - 2
North Shore Mariners
NSM
51%
26%
23%
373 192 181 0
30 May. 2021
ROC
Rockdale City Suns
0 - 2
Marconi Stallions
MAR
41%
28%
31%
371 300 -71 +2
22 May. 2021
MAR
Marconi Stallions
1 - 1
Sutherland Sharks
SUT
47%
27%
26%
371 221 150 0