Moulins vs Le Puy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.6%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
14.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moulins
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
GRE
1 - 2
MOU
63%
22%
15%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
MOU
2 - 0
MOA
61%
22%
16%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
SOC
1 - 0
MOU
28%
27%
46%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2016 |
MON
0 - 1
MOU
30%
27%
43%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
MOU
0 - 0
DRA
53%
24%
23%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Le Puy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
LPV
1 - 0
DRA
38%
28%
34%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
OLY
1 - 0
LPV
72%
18%
10%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
LPV
0 - 1
AUX
28%
26%
46%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
FCM
1 - 2
LPV
55%
24%
21%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
SAR
0 - 0
LPV
54%
24%
22%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -1 |