Moulins vs Belfort analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
14.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moulins
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
MON
0 - 1
MOU
41%
27%
32%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
MOU
1 - 2
GIR
8%
19%
73%
|
47 | 87 | 40 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
UJA
1 - 0
MOU
39%
27%
34%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
CON
1 - 1
MOU
48%
25%
27%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
MOU
1 - 0
SOC
68%
19%
13%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Belfort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
AUX
1 - 3
BEL
53%
24%
23%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
BEL
1 - 3
LHA
12%
22%
66%
|
40 | 65 | 25 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
BEL
0 - 1
STR
17%
24%
59%
|
40 | 60 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
MOA
2 - 3
BEL
50%
24%
25%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
SMA
0 - 1
BEL
17%
22%
62%
|
39 | 7 | 32 | 0 |