Moulins vs Aurillac Arpajon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.5%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.4%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.1%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.5%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.5%
5%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moulins
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
VAU
0 - 0
MOU
13%
21%
66%
|
41 | 22 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
MOU
0 - 1
RVA
55%
23%
22%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
LIM
2 - 2
MOU
12%
18%
70%
|
43 | 23 | 20 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
SAR
3 - 0
MOU
43%
26%
31%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -2 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
MOU
0 - 3
SAI
65%
21%
14%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Aurillac Arpajon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
AUR
1 - 2
LDU
43%
23%
34%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
CHA
2 - 0
AUR
29%
23%
48%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | -2 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
AUR
0 - 0
AIN
39%
23%
38%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
AUR
2 - 1
CHA
66%
19%
15%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
THI
3 - 0
AUR
26%
25%
49%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | -3 |