Motril CF vs El Palo FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
24.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Motril CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 1
MOT
59%
23%
19%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
MOT
1 - 1
MAL
33%
26%
41%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
HUE
2 - 0
MOT
39%
27%
35%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
MOT
2 - 0
ANT
54%
24%
22%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
LOJ
0 - 1
MOT
67%
20%
13%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
El Palo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2011 |
PAL
3 - 2
ALH
48%
23%
29%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
CAR
0 - 3
PAL
25%
23%
53%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
PAL
1 - 2
RON
39%
24%
38%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
MAN
4 - 0
PAL
48%
25%
27%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
PAL
4 - 0
VEL
61%
20%
19%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | +1 |