Motor Lublin vs Karpaty Krosno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.9%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
14.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Motor Lublin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2015 |
LUB
0 - 3
MOT
21%
21%
59%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2015 |
MOT
2 - 0
SOK
76%
14%
10%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
WIS
0 - 7
MOT
8%
16%
76%
|
31 | 13 | 18 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
MOT
4 - 2
ORP
76%
16%
9%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
STA
1 - 1
MOT
61%
21%
18%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Karpaty Krosno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2015 |
KAR
1 - 0
IZO
57%
23%
21%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
WWP
1 - 1
KAR
36%
23%
40%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
KAR
1 - 1
CHE
72%
18%
10%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
RES
3 - 0
KAR
52%
25%
23%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
KAR
0 - 0
TOM
73%
18%
10%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | -1 |