Motor Clube vs Marinhense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.2%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.8%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
74.4%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22%
0-3
10.3%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.2%
0-4
6%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.3%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-65%
+374%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Motor Clube
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
MAR
8 - 0
MCL
87%
9%
4%
|
6 | 22 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
MCL
1 - 1
BOA
9%
16%
75%
|
5 | 21 | 16 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
OUT
3 - 0
MCL
87%
10%
4%
|
5 | 20 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
MCL
0 - 1
ILH
9%
17%
74%
|
5 | 17 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
OVI
2 - 0
MCL
81%
12%
7%
|
5 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Marinhense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 0
AEU
52%
22%
26%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
MAR
3 - 2
MAR
57%
21%
22%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
MAR
2 - 0
BOA
40%
23%
37%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
OUT
1 - 2
MAR
63%
20%
18%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
ILH
2 - 0
MAR
42%
23%
35%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | -1 |