Motherwell vs Kilmarnock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.5%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
11.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Motherwell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
MHE
2 - 1
ROS
67%
19%
14%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2014 |
MHE
2 - 0
ICT
55%
23%
22%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
HIB
3 - 3
MHE
36%
27%
37%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
MHE
4 - 1
HOM
72%
18%
10%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2014 |
STJ
3 - 0
MHE
42%
27%
31%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
ABE
2 - 1
KIL
58%
25%
17%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2014 |
KIL
0 - 3
CEL
18%
22%
60%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
KIL
4 - 2
HOM
56%
24%
20%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
STM
2 - 0
KIL
44%
26%
30%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
KIL
1 - 1
HIB
50%
25%
25%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |