Motherwell vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
13.5%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Motherwell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
CEL
2 - 0
MHE
65%
21%
15%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
MHE
3 - 1
ROS
60%
22%
18%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2013 |
LIV
1 - 2
MHE
23%
23%
54%
|
73 | 55 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
DUN
2 - 2
MHE
52%
24%
24%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
STM
0 - 1
MHE
35%
28%
38%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
HOM
0 - 2
STM
55%
25%
20%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
HOM
0 - 0
DUN
33%
26%
40%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2013 |
HOM
3 - 3
QOS
55%
23%
22%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
ROS
2 - 1
HOM
51%
26%
23%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
HOM
1 - 3
CEL
24%
25%
50%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | -1 |