Motherwell vs Greenock Morton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.8%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.9%
8.4%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Motherwell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
MHE
3 - 2
STJ
54%
25%
21%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2012 |
MHE
3 - 1
DUN
71%
19%
10%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
DUN
1 - 1
MHE
46%
26%
28%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
MHE
0 - 1
ICT
58%
23%
19%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
MHE
4 - 0
QUE
76%
16%
8%
|
74 | 52 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Greenock Morton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
QOS
2 - 1
GRE
47%
25%
28%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
GRE
1 - 1
RAI
60%
23%
18%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
RAI
1 - 2
GRE
38%
25%
37%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 2012 |
GRE
3 - 1
AYR
46%
25%
29%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
DUN
0 - 1
GRE
65%
21%
14%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | +1 |