Motherwell vs Aberdeen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
32.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
2º
10º
8º
35
6º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 18 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Motherwell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
GLA
1 - 2
MHE
68%
19%
13%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
LIV
1 - 3
MHE
33%
28%
39%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
MHE
1 - 3
CEL
26%
23%
51%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
HOM
2 - 0
MHE
68%
19%
13%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2024 |
ABE
3 - 3
MHE
53%
25%
22%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Aberdeen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2024 |
DUN
1 - 0
ABE
39%
25%
36%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
ABE
3 - 1
KIL
51%
25%
24%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
STM
2 - 1
ABE
32%
28%
40%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
ABE
0 - 2
STJ
67%
21%
12%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
KIL
2 - 0
ABE
42%
26%
32%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |