Móstoles CF vs CD Lugo Fuenlabrada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.4%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
15.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Móstoles CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
PNT
0 - 1
MOS
55%
24%
21%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
MOS
4 - 0
IVA
61%
21%
18%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2022 |
PAR
2 - 1
MOS
59%
21%
20%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
MOS
0 - 1
MOB
65%
20%
15%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
CDV
2 - 1
MOS
39%
25%
36%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
CD Lugo Fuenlabrada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
LUG
1 - 0
FUE
37%
25%
38%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2022 |
LUG
0 - 0
TAJ
40%
26%
35%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
ALA
1 - 0
LUG
75%
16%
9%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
LUG
1 - 2
RMA
28%
23%
49%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
YEB
3 - 1
LUG
53%
24%
23%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | -1 |