Mosta vs Sirens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
11.1%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mosta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
GUD
0 - 1
MOS
23%
25%
53%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
NAX
0 - 0
MOS
34%
25%
41%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
MOS
5 - 1
PIE
73%
16%
11%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
MOS
0 - 2
BAL
48%
25%
28%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
HIB
0 - 0
MOS
52%
24%
24%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Sirens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
SIR
0 - 3
VAL
21%
25%
54%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
SIR
0 - 1
SLI
23%
27%
51%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
NAD
1 - 1
SIR
13%
20%
68%
|
55 | 37 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
SIR
1 - 2
BIR
22%
26%
52%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
GUD
1 - 2
SIR
47%
26%
27%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |