Malta League Normal Season Round 3

Mosta vs Hibernians analysis

Mosta Hibernians
60 ELO 70
18.4% Tilt 22.7%
1786º General ELO ranking 1693º
10º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
27.5%
Mosta
24.5%
Draw
48%
Hibernians

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.5%
Win probability
Mosta
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
48%
Win probability
Hibernians
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Mosta
-16%
+9%
Hibernians

Points and table prediction

Mosta
Their league position
Hibernians
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
10º
46
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Hamrun Spartans
69
69
100%
Birkirkara
50
50
100%
Gzira United
48
48
100%
Mosta
46
46
0%
Balzan FC
46
46
0%
Hibernians
46
46
100%
Valletta FC
37
37
0%
Floriana FC
37
37
0%
Sirens
33
33
100%
Gudja United
10º
29
29
10º
100%
Marsaxlokk FC
11º
25
25
11º
100%
Santa Lucía
12º
15
15
12º
100%
Zebbug Rangers
13º
14
14
13º
100%
Pieta Hotspurs
14º
12
12
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
Mosta
Hibernians
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
0% 0%
Conference League knock out round
0% 0%
Play-offs
100% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Mosta
Hibernians
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Mosta
Mosta
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Aug. 2022
MAR
Marsaxlokk FC
1 - 4
Mosta
MOS
33%
25%
42%
60 56 4 0
20 Aug. 2022
MOS
Mosta
1 - 2
Gudja United
GUD
56%
23%
22%
60 57 3 0
30 Jul. 2022
MOS
Mosta
3 - 2
Marsa FC
MAR
59%
20%
21%
60 54 6 0
27 Jul. 2022
MOS
Mosta
5 - 3
Pieta Hotspurs
PIE
65%
19%
16%
60 52 8 0
23 Jul. 2022
MOS
Mosta
2 - 4
Gudja United
GUD
57%
21%
22%
60 56 4 0

Matches

Hibernians
Hibernians
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Aug. 2022
HIB
Hibernians
1 - 4
Hamrun Spartans
HAM
41%
27%
32%
70 71 1 0
21 Aug. 2022
VAL
Valletta FC
1 - 1
Hibernians
HIB
30%
26%
45%
70 65 5 0
11 Aug. 2022
HIB
Hibernians
1 - 3
FK RFS
RIG
27%
23%
50%
70 78 8 0
04 Aug. 2022
RIG
FK RFS
1 - 1
Hibernians
HIB
61%
20%
19%
70 78 8 0
28 Jul. 2022
LEV
Levadia
1 - 1
Hibernians
HIB
64%
19%
17%
70 78 8 0