Mossley vs Farsley Celtic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
46.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mossley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
MOS
1 - 4
TRA
32%
24%
44%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2016 |
HYD
1 - 2
MOS
45%
22%
33%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
MOS
0 - 1
COL
52%
21%
28%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -2 |
| 11 Oct. 2016 |
MOS
3 - 2
NOR
21%
22%
57%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | +3 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
NOR
1 - 1
MOS
64%
19%
17%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Farsley Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
PRE
0 - 3
FAR
15%
20%
65%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2016 |
BRI
2 - 1
FAR
44%
24%
33%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
FAR
2 - 4
LAN
33%
26%
41%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -2 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
RAD
1 - 3
FAR
31%
23%
46%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
FAR
0 - 1
BIS
57%
21%
23%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | -1 |