Mosman vs Lugarno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.2%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
34.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mosman
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2016 |
MFC
3 - 5
MWF
21%
21%
58%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |