Mosconia vs Navarro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
33.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+65%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mosconia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
PRA
3 - 0
MOS
52%
24%
24%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
RTI
2 - 0
MOS
37%
26%
38%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
MOS
0 - 1
GIN
28%
25%
47%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
URR
2 - 0
MOS
45%
26%
29%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
MOS
1 - 2
ESM
41%
25%
34%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Navarro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
NAV
2 - 0
RTI
36%
27%
37%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
GIN
2 - 2
NAV
75%
16%
10%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
NAV
1 - 0
URR
25%
29%
46%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
ESM
1 - 0
NAV
60%
22%
18%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
NAV
1 - 1
LUA
28%
25%
47%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |