Mortágua vs Vitoria de Sernache analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
33.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mortágua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
MAR
2 - 1
MOR
57%
22%
21%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
MOR
0 - 1
UDL
19%
24%
57%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
BEN
0 - 0
MOR
68%
19%
14%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
ALC
1 - 0
MOR
23%
21%
56%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
MOR
1 - 1
OLE
31%
26%
43%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Vitoria de Sernache
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2021 |
VIT
2 - 1
SER
27%
25%
48%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
CON
1 - 1
VIT
62%
20%
19%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
MAR
1 - 0
VIT
62%
20%
18%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2020 |
VIT
0 - 1
UDL
18%
22%
60%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
BEN
3 - 1
VIT
68%
18%
14%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |