Mortágua vs Rio Tanto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.7%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
10.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mortágua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
CES
5 - 0
MOR
52%
23%
25%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
MOR
2 - 1
BUS
66%
19%
15%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
PEN
2 - 3
MOR
27%
24%
49%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
EST
1 - 1
MOR
58%
23%
19%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
MOR
2 - 2
OFR
67%
19%
15%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Rio Tanto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
REG
1 - 3
RTA
70%
17%
13%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | 0 |