Mortágua vs Gouveia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
21.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
-44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mortágua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
LUS
0 - 2
MOR
56%
23%
21%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
PAM
1 - 4
MOR
31%
25%
45%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
MOR
0 - 1
GAF
43%
26%
31%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
ACA
1 - 3
MOR
29%
22%
48%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
MOR
0 - 0
ANA
29%
26%
45%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Gouveia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
GOU
1 - 1
GAF
37%
23%
40%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
ACA
0 - 0
GOU
29%
22%
49%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
GOU
2 - 1
ANA
26%
25%
49%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | +2 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
RDA
1 - 0
GOU
59%
20%
21%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
GOU
3 - 0
TOU
46%
23%
31%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +2 |