Non League Premier Norte. Jor. 6

Morpeth Town vs Marske United analysis

Morpeth Town Marske United
37 ELO 33
11.7% Tilt -3.4%
5753º General ELO ranking 6997º
262º Country ELO ranking 333º
ELO win probability
55.1%
Morpeth Town
20%
Draw
24.9%
Marske United

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
Morpeth Town
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
20%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20%
24.9%
Win probability
Marske United
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Morpeth Town
-9%
+5%
Marske United

Points and table prediction

Morpeth Town
Their league position
Marske United
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
56
16º
13º
24
17º
22º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
22º
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Radcliffe Borough
90
93
100%
Macclesfield Town
80
83
82%
Marine
79
82
72.5%
Warrington Rylands 1906 FC
75
79
80%
Worksop Town
73
76
89.5%
Hyde
70
71
90%
Ashton United
70
70
98.5%
Ilkeston Town FC
66
66
60%
Gainsborough Trinity
63
66
52%
Lancaster City
11º
62
65
10º
24%
Whitby Town
10º
62
63
11º
45.5%
Guiseley
12º
61
62
12º
70.5%
Morpeth Town
13º
56
56
13º
88.5%
Matlock Town
14º
53
53
14º
20%
United of Manchester
15º
52
53
15º
27.5%
Bamber Bridge
16º
47
48
16º
48.5%
Marske United
22º
24
48
17º
20%
Workington
17º
44
44
18º
71.5%
Basford United
18º
37
38
19º
85%
Bradford Park Avenue
19º
33
33
20º
70.5%
Stafford Rangers
20º
30
31
21º
71%
Atherton Collieries
21º
25
25
22º
100%
Expected probabilities
Morpeth Town
Marske United
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 85%
Relegation
0% 15%

ELO progression

Morpeth Town
Marske United
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Morpeth Town
Morpeth Town
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Aug. 2023
RYL
Warrington Rylands 1906 FC
2 - 0
Morpeth Town
MOR
56%
23%
21%
37 42 5 0
21 Aug. 2023
BRA
Bradford Park Avenue
2 - 0
Morpeth Town
MOR
41%
26%
34%
38 38 0 -1
19 Aug. 2023
MOR
Morpeth Town
3 - 3
Matlock Town
MAT
38%
25%
37%
38 42 4 0
15 Aug. 2023
MOR
Morpeth Town
3 - 0
Workington
WOR
25%
23%
52%
35 44 9 +3
12 Aug. 2023
BAS
Basford United
2 - 2
Morpeth Town
MOR
38%
24%
38%
35 32 3 0

Matches

Marske United
Marske United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Aug. 2023
MAR
Marske United
2 - 5
Radcliffe Borough
RAD
24%
25%
52%
36 47 11 0
22 Aug. 2023
MAR
Marske United
3 - 1
Bamber Bridge
BAM
21%
23%
56%
33 44 11 +3
19 Aug. 2023
ASH
Ashton United
3 - 1
Marske United
MAR
47%
22%
31%
34 35 1 -1
15 Aug. 2023
WOR
Worksop Town
3 - 0
Marske United
MAR
71%
17%
12%
34 44 10 0
12 Aug. 2023
MAR
Marske United
1 - 3
Ilkeston Town FC
ILK
48%
22%
30%
36 37 1 -2
X