Morpeth Town vs Hebburn Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.3%
Win probability
2.96
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.3%
9.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morpeth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2021 |
MOR
3 - 1
STO
67%
17%
16%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
MOR
0 - 3
NOT
20%
21%
59%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | -2 |
| 08 Dec. 2020 |
RUN
2 - 2
MOR
30%
24%
46%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2020 |
MOR
2 - 1
BAM
74%
15%
11%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
MOR
3 - 1
WHI
50%
23%
28%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Hebburn Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
HEB
2 - 1
BLY
23%
19%
59%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2021 |
HEB
1 - 3
WHI
17%
18%
65%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
HEB
2 - 1
COR
43%
22%
35%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
HEB
2 - 2
PON
15%
17%
69%
|
16 | 37 | 21 | +2 |
| 01 Sep. 2020 |
HEB
4 - 1
HEM
51%
21%
28%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |