Mornar vs Iskra Danilovgrad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
30.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
6º
10º
8º
31
7º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mornar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
MOR
2 - 0
PET
45%
25%
30%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
MOR
1 - 0
PET
41%
28%
31%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
JEZ
3 - 1
MOR
45%
27%
27%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
MOR
2 - 2
JED
52%
26%
22%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2022 |
FKA
2 - 1
MOR
33%
28%
39%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Iskra Danilovgrad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
KOM
0 - 3
IKD
26%
25%
49%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
IKD
2 - 1
JEZ
36%
29%
35%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
JED
2 - 1
IKD
28%
29%
43%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
IKD
1 - 1
BUD
21%
25%
54%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
IKD
2 - 3
FKA
46%
27%
27%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |