Mornar vs Celik Niksic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.7%
29.4%
Draw
0-0
11.9%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.4%
41.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mornar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2013 |
RUD
3 - 1
MOR
62%
22%
15%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
MOR
3 - 0
GRB
28%
30%
42%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | +2 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
MLA
3 - 3
MOR
62%
22%
17%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2013 |
MOR
2 - 1
MOG
27%
28%
45%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
ZET
0 - 0
MOR
61%
23%
16%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Celik Niksic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2013 |
BUD
1 - 0
FKC
56%
22%
22%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
FKC
1 - 0
SUT
45%
27%
27%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
BUD
1 - 0
FKC
62%
22%
17%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
FKC
1 - 3
LOV
65%
22%
14%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | -2 |
| 01 May. 2013 |
FKC
1 - 1
RUD
52%
26%
23%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |