Mormont vs Union Rochefortoise analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.9%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.6%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.9%
49.1%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mormont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
WAN
3 - 3
MOR
43%
23%
34%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
MOR
4 - 3
AYW
66%
18%
17%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
SPR
0 - 2
MOR
68%
18%
15%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | +2 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
MOR
2 - 0
JOD
28%
23%
49%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | +3 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
OPP
3 - 2
MOR
50%
22%
28%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Union Rochefortoise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
STA
5 - 0
ROC
42%
23%
35%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
ROC
4 - 3
MAR
71%
16%
13%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
ROC
2 - 3
RIC
57%
21%
21%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
AYW
2 - 5
ROC
20%
19%
62%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2021 |
ROC
3 - 2
WAN
70%
16%
14%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |