Mormont vs Raeren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
45%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mormont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
MOR
2 - 2
ROC
30%
21%
49%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
WAN
3 - 3
MOR
43%
23%
34%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
MOR
4 - 3
AYW
66%
18%
17%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
SPR
0 - 2
MOR
68%
18%
15%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | +2 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
MOR
2 - 0
JOD
28%
23%
49%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | +3 |
Matches
Raeren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
HUY
2 - 3
RAE
19%
21%
60%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
RAE
2 - 2
HBN
55%
21%
25%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
RAE
6 - 2
MAR
62%
19%
19%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
JOD
1 - 3
RAE
46%
22%
32%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
RAE
6 - 3
AYW
68%
17%
15%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | +1 |