Mormont vs Union Namur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.2%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
62.2%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mormont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
WAR
5 - 1
MOR
82%
11%
6%
|
24 | 44 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
MOR
2 - 2
HAM
19%
21%
61%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
LOR
4 - 0
MOR
75%
15%
10%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
MOR
0 - 3
TIL
24%
21%
55%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | -2 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
BER
2 - 2
MOR
70%
17%
13%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Union Namur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
NAM
1 - 3
GEN
9%
18%
73%
|
45 | 76 | 31 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
NAM
0 - 2
LIE
52%
23%
26%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
WAR
1 - 3
NAM
52%
23%
26%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
NAM
1 - 1
AYW
55%
23%
23%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2014 |
NAM
0 - 0
GIV
61%
21%
18%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |