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Promotion Belgium. ACFF B, Matchday 24

Mormont vs Habay-la-Neuve analysis

Mormont Habay-la-Neuve
49 ELO 47
43% Tilt 30%
1484º General ELO ranking 1941º
46º Country ELO ranking 70º
ELO win probability
55%
Mormont
21.3%
Draw
23.7%
Habay-la-Neuve

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
Mormont
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
23.7%
Win probability
Habay-la-Neuve
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Mormont
+25%
+75%
Habay-la-Neuve

Points and table prediction

Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Warnant
52
62
64%
Aische
47
57
28%
Raeren
44
55
33%
Richelle United
42
51
24%
Oppagne-Wéris
42
51
24%
Aywaille
36
46
19%
Union Rochefortoise
34
43
13%
Mormont
34
41
13%
Jodoigne
33
41
10º
12%
Sprimont-Comblain
10º
32
39
12º
13%
Habay-la-Neuve
11º
31
43
11%
Herstal
12º
31
40
11º
14%
Huy
13º
27
32
13º
43%
Spy
14º
21
31
14º
49%
Meix-Devant-Virton
15º
17
24
15º
51%
Wallonne
16º
11
17
16º
88%
Expected probabilities
Mormont
Habay-la-Neuve
Champion
0% 0%
Promotion playoffs
0% 0%
Mid-table
95% 95%
Relegation playoffs
5% 4%
Relegation
1% 0%

ELO progression

Mormont
MOR
Habay-la-Neuve
HBN
Aische
AIS
Aywaille
AYW
Raeren
RAE
Union Rochefortoise
ROC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Mormont
Mormont
1%
X%
2%
ELO MOR ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Mar. 2020
MOR
Mormont
1 - 0
Oppagne-Wéris
OPP
53%
25%
22%
934 787 147 0
22 Feb. 2020
WAC
Wallonne
5 - 2
Mormont
MOR
44%
27%
29%
935 798 -137 -1
16 Feb. 2020
MOR
Mormont
0 - 5
Jodoigne
JOD
53%
25%
22%
934 793 141 +1
02 Feb. 2020
RIC
Richelle United
2 - 1
Mormont
MOR
47%
27%
26%
935 958 23 0
19 Jan. 2020
MOR
Mormont
2 - 3
Warnant
WAR
47%
27%
26%
935 831 104 -1

Matches

Habay-la-Neuve
Habay-la-Neuve
1%
X%
2%
ELO HBN ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Feb. 2020
HBN
Habay-la-Neuve
7 - 1
Herstal
HER
46%
27%
27%
829 881 -52 +1
16 Feb. 2020
SPY
Spy
1 - 1
Habay-la-Neuve
HBN
46%
27%
27%
829 763 -66 0
02 Feb. 2020
OPP
Oppagne-Wéris
4 - 1
Habay-la-Neuve
HBN
45%
27%
28%
830 786 -44 -1
19 Jan. 2020
HBN
Habay-la-Neuve
3 - 2
Sprimont-Comblain
SPR
57%
23%
20%
829 365 464 0
12 Jan. 2020
WAR
Warnant
1 - 0
Habay-la-Neuve
HBN
47%
27%
26%
830 831 1 0