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Promotion Belgium. ACFF B, Matchday 14

Mormont vs Aische analysis

Mormont Aische
50 ELO 49
39% Tilt 30%
1014º General ELO ranking 1174º
36º Country ELO ranking 51º
ELO win probability
54%
Mormont
21.8%
Draw
24.2%
Aische

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
Mormont
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
24.2%
Win probability
Aische
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Mormont
+26%
+25%
Aische

Points and table prediction

Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Warnant
52
62
88%
Aische
47
55
34%
Raeren
44
53
24%
Richelle United
42
51
19%
Oppagne-Wéris
42
50
20%
Aywaille
36
46
14%
Union Rochefortoise
34
44
14%
Mormont
34
42
10º
12%
Jodoigne
33
42
13%
Sprimont-Comblain
10º
32
38
12º
11%
Habay-la-Neuve
11º
31
44
12%
Herstal
12º
31
41
11º
15%
Huy
13º
27
31
13º
45%
Spy
14º
21
31
14º
53%
Meix-Devant-Virton
15º
17
23
15º
59%
Wallonne
16º
11
17
16º
82%
Expected probabilities
Mormont
Aische
Champion
0% 21%
Promotion playoffs
0% 34%
Mid-table
94% 45%
Relegation playoffs
5% 0%
Relegation
1% 0%

ELO progression

Aische
AIS
Mormont
MOR
Union Rochefortoise
ROC
Jodoigne
JOD
Sprimont-Comblain
SPR
Herstal
HER
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Mormont
Mormont
1%
X%
2%
ELO MOR ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Nov. 2019
RAE
Raeren
1 - 1
Mormont
MOR
41%
28%
31%
938 766 -172 0
10 Nov. 2019
MOR
Mormont
4 - 1
Wallonne
WAC
51%
25%
23%
937 807 130 +1
03 Nov. 2019
HBN
Habay-la-Neuve
2 - 0
Mormont
MOR
42%
28%
31%
938 829 -109 -1
27 Oct. 2019
JOD
Jodoigne
0 - 0
Mormont
MOR
45%
27%
28%
938 796 -142 0
20 Oct. 2019
MOR
Mormont
2 - 2
Aywaille
AYW
41%
27%
31%
938 1158 -220 0

Matches

Aische
Aische
1%
X%
2%
ELO AIS ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Nov. 2019
AIS
Aische
1 - 3
Aywaille
AYW
40%
28%
32%
906 1157 -251 -1
10 Nov. 2019
RIC
Richelle United
2 - 1
Aische
AIS
47%
27%
26%
907 956 49 0
02 Nov. 2019
AIS
Aische
0 - 0
Spy
SPY
51%
25%
23%
907 765 142 0
27 Oct. 2019
HER
Herstal
1 - 1
Aische
AIS
47%
27%
26%
907 883 -24 0
19 Oct. 2019
AIS
Aische
2 - 1
Warnant
WAR
49%
26%
25%
906 828 78 0