Moreton City Excelsior vs Gold Coast Knights analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.8%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
50.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moreton City Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2024 |
RED
0 - 1
MOR
20%
19%
61%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
WYN
0 - 4
MOR
15%
17%
69%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
MOR
2 - 4
QUE
34%
24%
43%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
MOR
3 - 1
BRI
56%
20%
24%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
SUN
3 - 5
MOR
33%
22%
45%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Gold Coast Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
GCK
3 - 1
BRI
71%
18%
11%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
SUN
0 - 1
GCK
13%
21%
67%
|
46 | 27 | 19 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
GCK
4 - 2
BRR
76%
16%
8%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
OLY
0 - 1
GCK
14%
21%
66%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
GCK
2 - 0
ROC
67%
20%
14%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | 0 |