Morelos FC vs Industriales Naucalpan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
20.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morelos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2020 |
HZP
2 - 0
MOR
38%
26%
36%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
MOR
1 - 2
JAJ
48%
26%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
CAP
1 - 2
MOR
31%
26%
43%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
MOR
3 - 3
DAV
44%
27%
29%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
DLZ
2 - 2
MOR
48%
26%
25%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Industriales Naucalpan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
IDN
3 - 3
NEZ
48%
25%
27%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2020 |
HZP
1 - 1
IDN
48%
25%
27%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
CAP
1 - 4
IDN
41%
26%
34%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
IDN
0 - 1
DAV
34%
26%
40%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
IDN
1 - 1
FUR
44%
26%
30%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +2 |