Morella vs San Jorge analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
37.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
POB
0 - 1
MOR
37%
24%
39%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
MOR
2 - 0
BOR
62%
20%
18%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
CAB
1 - 0
MOR
51%
22%
27%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
MOR
2 - 2
CIN
69%
17%
14%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
TRA
2 - 1
MOR
70%
17%
13%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
San Jorge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 0
BEN
58%
21%
21%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
CAL
1 - 2
SAN
40%
24%
36%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 0
ALC
41%
24%
35%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
BEN
1 - 2
SAN
22%
23%
55%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 0
IBA
42%
24%
35%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | +1 |