Morell vs Parc analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.1%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
65%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
19.9%
0-3
8%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.8%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-75%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
TTE
1 - 0
MOR
50%
21%
29%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
GOR
3 - 0
MOR
61%
19%
20%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
MOR
1 - 3
CEE
27%
23%
51%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
SJU
4 - 0
MOR
72%
16%
12%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
MOR
1 - 2
CFV
24%
24%
53%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Parc
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
PAR
3 - 0
GOR
55%
20%
25%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
CEE
1 - 3
PAR
60%
20%
20%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
PAR
4 - 3
SJU
24%
21%
55%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | +2 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
CFV
2 - 1
PAR
70%
17%
12%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
PAR
2 - 2
SAR
73%
16%
12%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 |