CA Morelia vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.1%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.4%
7.5%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2021 |
MER
0 - 1
MOR
19%
23%
58%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
MOR
2 - 2
CIM
69%
19%
12%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2021 |
MOR
2 - 1
UAT
76%
16%
8%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2021 |
CDT
0 - 3
MOR
18%
26%
56%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2021 |
MOR
2 - 1
TOR
63%
21%
16%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2021 |
ALE
2 - 1
ZAC
24%
25%
52%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2021 |
DOR
2 - 1
ALE
58%
24%
18%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2021 |
ALE
0 - 0
RYD
47%
26%
26%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
UDG
1 - 1
ALE
43%
27%
30%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2021 |
ALE
2 - 3
TEM
27%
26%
48%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |