CA Morelia vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.6%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.2%
9.2%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2021 |
CIM
2 - 1
MOR
24%
25%
51%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
MOR
2 - 1
UAT
71%
18%
11%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2021 |
CFC
1 - 2
MOR
15%
25%
59%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
MOR
1 - 0
TAM
68%
20%
13%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2021 |
TIA
2 - 1
MOR
13%
22%
65%
|
74 | 53 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2021 |
ALE
3 - 1
SPT
46%
27%
27%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
MER
2 - 2
ALE
43%
27%
30%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
TIA
2 - 1
ALE
33%
28%
39%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2021 |
ALE
2 - 1
CDT
45%
28%
27%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2021 |
ALE
0 - 1
TEM
34%
27%
39%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |