CA Morelia vs Necaxa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
22.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2002 |
SAN
2 - 2
MOR
49%
24%
27%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2002 |
MOR
3 - 2
SNL
63%
21%
16%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2002 |
CHI
1 - 0
MOR
40%
27%
33%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
MOR
1 - 1
PAC
60%
20%
20%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2002 |
TIG
2 - 1
MOR
48%
23%
29%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Necaxa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2002 |
NEC
3 - 0
ATL
61%
22%
17%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2002 |
NEC
0 - 2
TOR
65%
20%
14%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2002 |
SAN
3 - 2
NEC
53%
22%
25%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2002 |
NEC
3 - 2
SNL
60%
23%
17%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2002 |
CHI
0 - 0
NEC
43%
27%
31%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |