CA Morelia vs Monterrey analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
29.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2012 |
MOR
1 - 1
EST
62%
21%
18%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
CAZ
0 - 0
MOR
54%
23%
23%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2012 |
MOR
1 - 4
TIG
51%
26%
23%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2012 |
TIG
1 - 0
MOR
45%
26%
29%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
JAG
1 - 0
MOR
40%
26%
35%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Monterrey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
MON
0 - 0
AME
57%
22%
21%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 1
MON
57%
22%
21%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2012 |
MON
1 - 1
SAN
48%
24%
29%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
MON
2 - 0
AME
56%
22%
21%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2012 |
AME
0 - 0
MON
49%
24%
27%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |