CA Morelia vs Venados FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
15.2%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2022 |
TEM
2 - 1
MOR
32%
26%
41%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
MOR
0 - 1
UDG
61%
22%
17%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2022 |
ATL
2 - 0
MOR
32%
28%
40%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
MOR
2 - 1
TAM
63%
22%
15%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2022 |
TOR
2 - 2
MOR
29%
27%
44%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Venados FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2022 |
MER
2 - 1
DOR
38%
27%
35%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
CIM
1 - 1
MER
52%
26%
22%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2022 |
MER
0 - 0
TEM
39%
27%
34%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2022 |
ZAC
0 - 0
MER
60%
23%
17%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2022 |
MER
1 - 0
CFC
48%
26%
25%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |