Liga MX Finals Ap. . Quarter-finals
Global 5-4
CA Morelia vs León analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
34.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
QRO
3 - 1
MOR
34%
26%
40%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
MOR
3 - 2
PUE
64%
21%
16%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2019 |
LEO
1 - 1
MOR
65%
20%
16%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2019 |
MOR
6 - 1
JUA
67%
20%
13%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
MOR
2 - 2
SAN
33%
25%
42%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
León
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
TIJ
1 - 2
LEO
29%
26%
45%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
LEO
4 - 0
TOL
62%
21%
17%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2019 |
LEO
1 - 1
MOR
65%
20%
16%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2019 |
CAZ
1 - 0
LEO
42%
26%
32%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
LEO
3 - 2
AUR
73%
17%
10%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | +1 |