CA Morelia vs Chivas Guadalajara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
15.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
QRO
2 - 0
MOR
39%
26%
34%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
MOR
2 - 1
MON
45%
25%
29%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
CAZ
3 - 1
MOR
49%
25%
26%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
MOR
0 - 1
VER
65%
21%
14%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 2
MOR
63%
20%
17%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Chivas Guadalajara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
MON
1 - 0
CHI
64%
22%
15%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2014 |
CHI
0 - 0
TIG
29%
28%
43%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
AME
0 - 0
CHI
67%
21%
12%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2014 |
CHI
3 - 3
TIJ
30%
29%
41%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2014 |
SAN
5 - 0
CHI
70%
18%
12%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |