CA Morelia vs Chivas Guadalajara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
16.7%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
VER
2 - 1
MOR
22%
25%
53%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
SNL
1 - 2
MOR
28%
28%
44%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2013 |
MOR
1 - 1
VER
77%
16%
8%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
MON
1 - 0
MOR
54%
23%
23%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
MOR
3 - 3
CAZ
48%
26%
26%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Chivas Guadalajara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2013 |
CHI
1 - 1
CAZ
32%
28%
41%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
SAN
2 - 0
CHI
69%
19%
12%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2013 |
CHI
1 - 1
TOL
35%
28%
38%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
TOL
3 - 1
CHI
61%
23%
17%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2012 |
CHI
1 - 2
TOL
39%
28%
33%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |