CA Morelia vs Celaya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.5%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.5%
8%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
MOR
2 - 1
TIJ
52%
24%
23%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2013 |
TIG
1 - 2
MOR
46%
26%
28%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
MOR
3 - 4
TOL
56%
24%
21%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2013 |
TOR
0 - 3
MOR
20%
24%
56%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
QRO
1 - 3
MOR
28%
27%
45%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Celaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
UDG
2 - 0
TOR
38%
28%
35%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
TOR
1 - 1
DEL
54%
25%
21%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2013 |
TOR
0 - 3
MOR
20%
24%
56%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
UAT
4 - 2
TOR
56%
23%
21%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
UAT
3 - 0
TOR
53%
24%
23%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |