Morelia Sub 20 vs Toluca Sub 20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
18.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morelia Sub 20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
LEO
2 - 0
MOR
41%
27%
32%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2018 |
MOR
3 - 2
LEO
47%
24%
29%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2018 |
MOR
1 - 0
CAZ
71%
17%
11%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
TIJ
2 - 1
MOR
43%
26%
31%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2018 |
MOR
5 - 1
TIG
42%
26%
32%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Toluca Sub 20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
MEX
0 - 2
MON
44%
27%
29%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2018 |
MON
1 - 1
MEX
46%
27%
27%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
BUA
0 - 3
MEX
26%
25%
49%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
MEX
1 - 1
PUM
54%
25%
21%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
AME
1 - 1
MEX
63%
22%
16%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |