Moreirense vs Penafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
19.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moreirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2013 |
MOR
0 - 2
AVE
60%
23%
17%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
LEX
1 - 1
MOR
39%
28%
33%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
BRA
0 - 0
MOR
29%
28%
44%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2013 |
POR
1 - 1
MOR
42%
27%
31%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
MOR
4 - 0
TRO
74%
17%
9%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
PEN
0 - 2
SPC
54%
26%
20%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2013 |
ACV
1 - 0
PEN
30%
30%
41%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
PEN
1 - 1
TON
50%
27%
23%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
ACA
0 - 0
PEN
54%
25%
22%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
RIB
0 - 2
PEN
18%
22%
61%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | 0 |