Moreirense vs Paços de Ferreira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
23.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moreirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2020 |
BEL
0 - 1
MOR
39%
29%
33%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2020 |
MOR
0 - 0
SCP
17%
22%
62%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2020 |
AVE
0 - 1
MOR
26%
27%
48%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2020 |
MOR
1 - 1
FAM
41%
27%
32%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2020 |
VIT
1 - 1
MOR
56%
24%
20%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Paços de Ferreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2020 |
PAÇ
1 - 5
SPB
10%
21%
69%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2020 |
VST
2 - 3
PAÇ
38%
28%
34%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2020 |
PAÇ
0 - 1
FCP
9%
19%
72%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2020 |
TON
1 - 3
PAÇ
39%
26%
34%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 2020 |
PAÇ
2 - 1
BEL
39%
30%
31%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |