Moratalaz vs CD San Fernando analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
19%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
16.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moratalaz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
ROB
2 - 2
MOR
33%
22%
46%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
MOR
2 - 0
ROB
48%
24%
29%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
EFC
2 - 3
MOR
18%
20%
63%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
MOR
5 - 0
UNI
71%
16%
13%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
ARA
1 - 0
MOR
52%
21%
27%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
SFN
1 - 3
UZN
28%
23%
49%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
ROB
3 - 1
SFN
41%
23%
37%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
SFN
1 - 3
CPO
40%
25%
36%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
ROB
2 - 0
SFN
44%
23%
33%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
SFN
2 - 2
MOR
58%
22%
20%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |